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Good time to buy, experts say
by Jim Crawford

NORTH VALLEY – What goes up must come down. And at present, nowhere could this maxim seem truer than in the flexible and volatile Valley real estate market.

Speculation abounds as to when is a good time to buy or sell, upgrade, downgrade, invest or leave well enough alone.

What is the average consumer to do?

 

“Right now it’s a buyer’s market,” says John Foltz, president of Real Estate Executives in Phoenix. “That simply means there are more properties than buyers on the market. Prices in general have gradually come down. But I firmly believe most of those days are behind us.”

Steve Wallace at Arizona Mortgage Specialists acknowledges this is a good time for consumers to take that giant leap.

“I’ve been here 18 years and this is one of the best times to buy I’ve seen,” Wallace says. “Things were overpriced for a while, but there are some great bargains out there right now. Some prices are down as much as $100,000. That’s all over the Valley. Interest rates are up a bit, but the economy is so strong. Look at the stock market. It’s setting records everyday. People are still spending a lot of money.”

Foltz says there are a couple of factors contributing to the current real estate conditions.

“There has been an increase in foreclosures,” Foltz says. “A lot of homes were bought with no equity loans using very high leverage. Then people found they couldn’t pay their mortgage. This type of activity tends to bring prices down.

“The other factor is there’s still a pretty sizeable inventory of new homes,” Foltz says. “Builders are offering incentives to buyers. Right now it’s a very good market for buyers.”

Some areas haven’t felt the impact as much as others.

“The luxury markets, homes in the million dollar range, have remained stable,” Foltz continues. “Markets in established areas have pretty much stayed stable. The perimeters grew much faster. Places like Surprise, Queen Creek and Maricopa are now feeling the downturn much more than established neighborhoods. The market tends to be more volatile the farther away you get from the city.”

It’s simply a matter of cycles.

“I’ve been in the business for 40 years and have seen times like these before,” he says. “We know things change gradually. There are times when it’s a buyer’s market and others when it’s a seller’s market. People have a sense that something dramatic is going to happen. I don’t foresee a dramatic up bounce immediately. It’ll be a gradual change. When things settle down, there’ll be a time to stabilize.”

This is a perfect time for buyers to upgrade, Foltz says.

“When people sell and then buy something else you become a net buyer,” he says. “It’s a wonderful time for upgrading. It’s the best situation. The percentage rates are still pretty good. It’s terrible for sellers to sell and move into an apartment and not buy something else. And it’s not a good time to downgrade.”

 
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