It's
time for all the financial experts to make their predictions
for 2007. Some will say the stock market will keep rising
over the next year, while others will claim the market
will fall. How about interest rates, inflation, oil prices
and any number of other factors? With very little effort,
you can find conflicting opinions on all these subjects.
How can you base your investment strategies on such an
uncertain forecast?
You
can't ‑ and you shouldn't.
In
fact, you'll be better off if you stop asking questions
that have no answers. No one can really tell you where
the Dow Jones Industrial Average will be in 12 months,
nor the price of a barrel of oil, nor the interest rate
on a 10‑year Treasury note.
Even
more importantly, the specifics of the financial markets
over the next year are just about meaningless to you if
you will be investing for another two or three decades.
Consequently,
instead of pondering what lies ahead for the financial
markets, ask yourself these questions: Is my asset allocation
suitable for my risk tolerance? You'll need to periodically
review your portfolio to make sure your investment mix
is still appropriate for your individual needs. You don't
want to take on too much risk, but, at the same time,
you don't want to invest so conservatively that you can't
attain the growth you need. And, over time, some of your
goals may change, along with your family situation, so
you'll want to make sure your investments
reflect your new circumstances.
Do
I need to upgrade the quality of my investments? Year
in and year out, through market volatility and political
turmoil, quality investments never go out of style. Take
a close look at your holdings. Do you own stocks of companies
with strong management teams and competitive products?
Have your bonds received high "grades" from
the independent rating agencies?
In
any given time period, the highest rated investments may
not offer the best returns, but, over the long haul, they
are likely to provide you with the greatest potential
for rewards.
Can
I reduce my investment expenses and taxes? Most people
don't realize just how much expenses
and taxes can eat into investment returns. By buying ‑quality
investments, and holding them for the long term, you can
help reduce transaction costs. And you can gain greater
control of your tax situation by focusing on tax‑advantaged
vehicles, such as your 401(k), Roth or traditional IRA,
fixed annuities and some types of municipal bonds.
Do
I own investments that can offer the potential for both
reliable and rising income during retirement?
This question is especially applicable if you are closing
in on retirement. To supplement your Social Security and
the distributions from your 401(k) or other employer‑sponsored
retirement plan, you will need to count on income from
your investment portfolio. To maintain a steady source
of income that can also keep you ahead of inflation, you
may want to explore a mixture of fixed‑income vehicles
and dividend‑paying stocks. Keep in mind, though,
that dividends can be increased, decreased or totally
eliminated at any point without notice.
You
can't predict shifting political winds, geopolitical unrest,
new tax legislation and the fortunes of specific industries.
But by following the steps outlined above, you can quit
looking for a crystal ball because you won't need it.